How To Deal With ISIS? An Extremist Approach Bringing Analogy From Newton’s First Law

In this ever changing world, proliferation is the core motivation for any organization. This is quite true with even humans, we educate ourselves every day through experience. Sometimes we need some form of guidance and incentives to have focus for anything interesting to build interest, and of course there are many ways to get there. Indeed there are many universities to enhance focus and get helped by tutor to get an example set of how should we focus. University is the best place to think, open horizons, build confidence and understand what works for you and what wouldn’t? Now how to keep ourselves motivated to keep building interest of the things we have incentives attached to it. People wouldn’t spend on education unless they’ve found education is or will work for them. Once you’ve got a way to succeed and you should’ve experienced a positive outcome of your efforts. This entire world works on this motivation including machine learning, artificial learning, humans, animals, nature and everything.

Synthesizing the above theory could attempt to explain terrorism has a negative effect and why education has a positive effect. The current problems with ISIS can be related with this when comes to analyze the thought process of the people joining it. You can put anything and try to correlate your motivation and the retrospective success in form of incentives to go beyond. I would argue that it’s the failure that motivates you to go for that extra effort to make that happen but it is the motivation in the past in small forms that you can achieve it or it’s a believe that you have built within yourself to achieve. So, for me it is highly correlated to the things that you have achieved in the past, and we shouldn’t credit failures for this. It is not failure that makes you believe to achieve something but it is the past incentives or in contemporary form.

The Islamic State is no mere collection of psychopaths. It is a religious group with carefully considered beliefs, among them that it is a key agent of the coming apocalypse. Here’s what that means for its strategy—and for how to stop it.

The Koran specifies crucifixion as one of the only punishments permitted for enemies of Islam. The tax on Christians finds clear endorsement in the Surah Al-Tawba, the Koran’s ninth chapter, which instructs Muslims to fight Christians and
Jews “until they pay the jizya with willing submission, and feel themselves subdued.” The Prophet, whom all Muslims consider exemplary, imposed these rules and owned slaves.

Bringing the analogy using Newton’s first law, “good” will remain “good” unless “bad” interrupts it and changes its property. This “bad” will grow ‘bad” unless a strong will for “good” act upon it. I have very limited information of ISIS’s influence on people of Syria and Iraq. Considering this analogy of Newton’s first law that I have tried to derive, ISIS will continue to grow unless a “good” interrupts it. And what should be this “good”? What can and should happen to turn the things around. The answer now lies on nature and universe? Maybe a natural calamities can be helpful going against ISIS growth but that is quite uncertain. There is a need for analysis of the areas from where they operate and climatic conditions etc so that the outer world can isolate them from basic needs so that they understand what is “good” and what is “bad”. Food supplies, water supplies, medicines, cure for any epidemics if possible would help them defining the “good’. Nearly all the Islamic State’s decisions adhere to what it calls, on its billboards, license plates, and coins, “the Prophetic methodology.”Ideological tools may convince some potential converts that the group’s message is false, and military tools can limit its horrors. But for an organization as impervious to persuasion as the Islamic State, few measures short of these will matter, and the war may be a long one, even if it doesn’t last until the end of time (Graeme Wood, 2015).

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What had Keynesian that we argue?

Greece situation is politically overwhelming for not only Europe but for the entire world. I remember reading a lot on Euro crisis, Drachma, QE, Greek issue, neo-classical economy, fiscal policy, Keynesian economy, Milton Friedman, Philips curve etc..during my MBA @ University Of Glasgow.

Greece has around $600M due next week to pay as a result of debt, but speculation is that they might default. However, their prime minister Alexis Tsipras denied any such speculation and assured that they have money to repay the debt this time. Many are saying that Greece is playing chicken game, they started to borrow first, they defaulted first, they are responsible, but they cannot be punished by offsetting them from Euro zone for Geo-political reason. They had enough defaults and help through austerities. It is also to be considered that Greece currently contributes <1% in world’s economy.

Greece is suffering highest unemployment at the moment, going to neo-classical economical theory that suggests reduce wages can help minimizing unemployment, I am sure Greece would’ve administrated this positively.

The classical solution to tackle unemployment, in whatever form they conceived it, is totally inadequate and unsatisfactory. They have relied entirely on a cut in the rate of interest and wage rates. These are self-defeating polices. Any cut in wage rates will result in widening the gap of unemployment instead of correcting it in modern times. This is because of the fact that any attempt to cut wage rates at the bottom of the depression period will cause a considerable portion of the aggregate or effective demand to reduce further causing a more severe unemployment situation. This can be illustrated with the help of a simple example:

Let’s assume that a small fruit seller sells 20kg of fruit at a market price of $10 on a daily basis. Thus his daily turnover is $200 (20 ´ 10) of which the only cost of production is in the form of wage rate. If he employs 10 laborers at a daily rate of $15, then the total wage payment is $150 (10 ´ 15). The fruit seller therefore earns a daily profit of $50 (200 – 150). If for some reason the demand for fruit that he sells reduces, then he will have to reduce the price say from $10 to $8. In this new situation his total daily turnover goes down to $160 and at the old cost of production, his profit margin declines to $10 (160-150). The fruit seller is not satisfied with this. Therefore he may reduce the number of his workers from 10 to 8 and bring down the cost of production from $150 to $120 (8 ´ 15). The two workers are then rendered unemployed. If the unemployed laborers insist on their re-employment, the producer will lay down the condition that wage rate of all the workers will be reduced from $15 to $11. If the workers accept this then the total wage bill will be $110 (10 ´ 11) which restores the seller’s profit of $50 (160 – 110) as before. It appears that even with reduced demand and fall in the price of fruit, unemployment of workers has been avoided with the help of a cut in the wage rate. But this in only a momentary and superficial solution. The workers’ total income has now reduced from $150 to $110 as a result of which they can spend less and reduce demand for every other commodity that they consume. Therefore initially the problem of depressed demand and unemployment which was faced by a single seller will eventually become a general and wider problem faced by all other dealers. Instead of curbing it, the wage cut solution will therefore increase the problem of unemployment. Though this example is oversimplified and hypothetical yet it helps to bring out gist of the Keynes’ Criticism of Classical theory.

Keynesian theory opposes this reduce wages, and suggests that it has adverse effect on economy reducing MPS (marginal propensity to save) and MPC (marginal propensity to consume). It will in-turn decreases multiplier factor that Keynes described in his book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money that was published in 1936. Keynes emphasized on Fiscal policy and tax reduction during recession. He also emphasized on investments in industries to produce more to meet demands, or to spend more to innovate and create demand, supporting as long as there is an active demand unemployment can be controlled.

Milton Friedman Argued Keynesian theory that why would industries would enhance investments if there is no profit. Why to enhance Fiscal policy, and government expenditure in recession?

The Good Society by Galbraith covers a concise description of the process of stabilization of the flow of aggregate demand which is the vital factor in the Keynesian economy.

Aggregate demand has three decisive components: consumer expenditure, expenditure for private investment and expenditure from the fiscal operations of the state – from government spending that exceeds or falls short of tax receipts. If the flow of purchasing power – of aggregate demand – is insufficient to sustain a high level of economic activity and growth, it is commonly believed that certain readily available and greatly benign measures will restore consumer and business confidence. There are three substantive lines of corrective action that will increase the flow of aggregate demand as required. First, taxes can be lowered, thus releasing to the consuming public more revenue to be expended on private consumption. Second, interest rates can be reduced by central bank action, thus encouraging business and consumer borrowing and investment or expenditure, which add to the flow of aggregate demand.

Third, the government can contribute directly to the flow of demand by new expenditure in excess of tax receipts – by a deliberately accepted or deliberately increased deficit. By one or a combination of these steps aggregate demand can, or so it held or hoped, be kept at a level that will cause business and the government to reach out for all available workers.There is, unfortunately, a wide difference in the effectiveness of these several public actions. There is also the problem of inflation. Action on interest rates, commonly referred to as monetary policy, has the highest establishment approval as an effective measure against stagnation and unemployment; it must, accordingly by the first for consideration. The serious flaw in monetary policy is that it may have little or no effect on the flow of aggregate demand. When times are poor and unemployment is high, lower interest rates do not reliably inspire consumer expenditure; depressive attitudes, including those which are the product of unemployment or uncertain employment, are in control. Tax reduction is also celebrated as a way to sustain aggregate demand during recession. Here again the hope is at odds with the reality; there is no certainty that the funds released by tax reduction will be invested or spent for the most good. As a way to stimulate demand in times of negative growth or stagnation, there remains only direct and active intervention by the state to create employment. In an ideal world this last would not be necessary. In the real world of recurrent and prolonged stagnation there can be no effective alternative. To intervene, the government must borrow and accept the reality of a larger deficit in the public accounts. Improvements to the public infrastructure – roads, schools, airports, housing – that are effected by the work of those newly employed also add to public wealth and income. Public borrowing can, over time, be a fiscally conservative act. When the economy recovers and public revenues rise, there must then be the discipline that brings simulative expenditure to an end. In brief, Keynesian doctrine suggests that the government should, in times of serious unemployment, run deficits to support the flow of aggregate demand7 and a wise government could stabilize the economy close to full employment and avoid fluctuations.

(https://www.ischool.utexas.edu/~darius/16-Keynesian-Linear.pdf)

Rest later….Structuring needed

Cisco VIC Boot from SAN troubleshooting

the rants of a data center crash test dummy

Boot from SAN is not necessarily one of the easiest things in the world; however, Cisco UCS does take away a lot of the complexity with its Service Profiles and associated Boot Policies. I’m not going to get into an exhaustive post around booting from SAN on Cisco UCS as I think most people have readily documented and how it works. However one important caveat to keep in mind is that the Cisco M81K-R does not have an “HBA BIOS” that is typically available in the Emulex or Qlogic HBA/CNA’s that we’re all familiar with. If you’re unfamiliar with the HBA BIOS utilities, this is typically as Cntrl+E or Cntrl+Q sequence that you can type in as a host is booting up so you can have the HBA log into the fabric and scan for its available luns.

Not to turn into a Debbie Downer, but there is a very…

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Straight Through Processing With Secondary Loan

The STP trading platform includes computer software modules including at least an account management module, an electronic trading module, and a back office management module The customer-side software client 210 is configured to receive and display the composite price screens and to permit customer traders to create trade inquiries, search dealer offerings, receive dealer axes, execute trades, allocate trades, and perform various other back office functions, as further described below. Is there any composite price screens? Thus, through integration of the electronic trading module 160 and the account management module 120, the customer is provided functionality to selectively allocate the block trade to one or more sub-accounts. Once block trades are allocated, the customer-side electronic trading component 215 of the electronic trading module 160 can generate an allocation ticket for each allocation of the block trade. Once block trades are allocated, the customer-side electronic trading component 215 of the electronic trading module 160 can generate an allocation ticket for each allocation of the block trade. Thus, in essence, each allocation is treated for the purposes of allocation acknowledgement, electronic confirmation and settlement as a separate allocation ticket. Each allocation ticket contains an identifier that permits the electronic trading module 160 to store a data record for each allocation ticket in the trade history database 115. The allocation ticket also may contain an identifier linking it to the original block trade executed between the parties. In some instances the dealer may be able to confirm some of the allocations, but not all of the allocations. In this case, the block trade is assigned the “CONFP” state and a message is transmitted to the customer. Upon receipt of a message including a CONFP state, the customer can either (i) cancel and reissue new allocations or (ii) cancel or correct the block trade. If new allocations are made, then an allocation message with the state “ALLOC” is transmitted to the dealer and the process begins again until the trade is either confirmed or cancelled altogether. For trades affected on the STP trading platform 100, the trade details for block trades would be stored electronically in an associated trade history database 115. As described above, the trade history database 115 stores a record for each trade executed on the STP trading platform 100 using a unique identifier for each such trade. How to enable customers to automatically affirm trade details. The summary information preferably includes the number of trades, the number of trades cancelled or corrected, the number of block trades allocated or unallocated, the number of tickets generated, the number of trades confirmed or unconfirmed, and the number of trades for which there are errors. This summary interface allows back office personnel to quickly and efficiently determine whether any executed trades have outstanding issues that require attention. Similarly, the dealer has access to summary trade information on a customer-by-customer basis. In various reports, the data can be displayed in aggregate, as well as within various maturity or sector categories, as well as trade size ranges, and trade type categories Thus, through integration of the electronic trading module and the account management module , the customer is provided functionality to selectively allocate the block trade to one or more sub-accounts. Once block trades are allocated, the customer-side electronic trading component of the electronic trading module can generate an allocation ticket for each allocation of the block trade. Once block trades are allocated, the customer-side electronic trading component of the electronic trading module can generate an allocation ticket for each allocation of the block trade. Thus, in essence, each allocation is treated for the purposes of allocation acknowledgement, electronic confirmation and settlement as a separate allocation ticket. Each allocation ticket contains an identifier that permits the electronic trading module to store a data record for each allocation ticket in the trade history database . The allocation ticket also may contain an identifier linking it to the original block trade executed between the parties. In some instances the dealer may be able to confirm some of the allocations, but not all of the allocations. In this case, the block trade is assigned the “CONFP” state and a message is transmitted to the customer. Upon receipt of a message including a CONFP state, the customer can either (i) cancel and reissue new allocations or (ii) cancel or correct the block trade. If new allocations are made, then an allocation message with the state “ALLOC” is transmitted to the dealer and the process begins again until the trade is either confirmed or cancelled altogether. One or more dealers transmit trade quotes, in. The customer then, , selects one of the quotes to execute a trade. For trades affected on the STP trading platform , the trade details for block trades would be stored electronically in an associated trade history database. As described above, the trade history database stores a record for each trade executed on the STP trading platform using a unique identifier for each such trade. Why don’t we have multiple trades instead of a bundled (multiple allocations)? This is a front office problem. How to enable customers to automatically affirm trade details? There is nothing called CONFP (partial confirmation and move through with temp funding memo). It is a back office problem, who builds facilities. It can be made possible through STP but MOC should accept non legal document or temporary/Draft funding memo.

Anti- Analysis To Avoid Air Crashes – French investigators say usable data has been extracted from the cockpit voice recorder of Germanwings 4U 9525 –

With many such incidents in the recent past, it has intrigued many and it’s quite a serious matter to look into what has been followed and what is wrong in that. I believe now the dots need to be connected backwards (as Steve Jobs said) to find what is getting wrong. Data is everywhere but these data are not helping to avoid such crashes. It is a huge set back and my sincere condolence for everyone on board in Flight 4U 9525.
We all have to come strongly and there is a need for knowing what is getting wrong in these couple of years and what was so different in the past or few years before. Is that commonness in crash causing more crashes? Is that fearlessness of a crash in our mind the reason for these subsequent crashes? Just like when someone is making mistakes, he is likely to make mistake and will keep on making mistake until he is completely out that situation and pressure? I think it is applicable for everyone, every institution, IATA…….
_81902868_bb
“French investigators say usable data has been extracted from the cockpit voice recorder of Germanwings 4U 9525 but it has so far yielded no clues as to the cause of the plane’s crash.”
For such crashes, even if they know the reason, what do you think, is there any benefit of that in the immediate future?
Airline Company shouldn’t only look on the data and fancy on the beauty of those. It is very important to analyze what is missing in them, what is not there in the data, what is hard to find, that is not easy to define, that is so critical and shouldn’t be avoided, this is not easy; but these anti-analysis on conventional analysis will help to find a better solution.

Anti- Analysis To Avoid Air Crashes – French investigators say usable data has been extracted from the cockpit voice recorder of Germanwings 4U 9525

With many such incidents in the recent past, it has intrigued many and it’s quite a serious matter to look into what has been followed and what is wrong in that. I believe now the dots need to be connected backwards (as Steve Jobs said) to find what is getting wrong. Data is everywhere but these data are not helping to avoid such crashes. It is a huge set back and my sincere condolence for everyone on board in Flight 4U 9525.
We all have to come strongly and there is a need for knowing what is getting wrong in these couple of years and what was so different in the past or few years before. Is that commonness in crash causing more crashes? Is that fearlessness of a crash in our mind the reason for these subsequent crashes? Just like when someone is making mistakes, he is likely to make mistake and will keep on making mistake until he is completely out that situation and pressure? I think it is applicable for everyone, every institution, IATA…….
_81902868_bb
“French investigators say usable data has been extracted from the cockpit voice recorder of Germanwings 4U 9525 but it has so far yielded no clues as to the cause of the plane’s crash.”
For such crashes, even if they know the reason, what do you think, is there any benefit of that in the immediate future?
Airline Company shouldn’t only look on the data and fancy on the beauty of those. It is very important to analyze what is missing in them, what is not there in the data, what is hard to find, that is not easy to define, that is so critical and shouldn’t be avoided, this is not easy; but these anti-analysis on conventional analysis will help to find a better solution.

Let The Argument Go! Don’t React

I am writing my first blog of this year today, and this idea has come to mind when i was preparing for some negotiation. I would like to focus on something which is quite obvious but we generally forget considering it. It is about keeping Psychology in mind when arguing. Lets start with its definition, and it is obvious that this is not my definition – Psychology is an academic and applied discipline that involves the scientific study of mental functions and behaviors.

From many theories, experience and intuition I have discovered that we always assume that others will also understand the same way as we do, but it is rigidly unclear. This is greatly supported by arguments that you see in your daily life, at home, at work, at anywhere! For example when you realize and believe that the loudest person is the weakest in the room, you might not argue or shout.There will be less argument and disagreement when people understand the way you understand. I would say such people as Psychologically aware people.The more you surround yourself with psychologically aware people the less argument over irrelevant things would occur.

Another thing I would like to pull here is arguing with your siblings or someone innocent who does have strong believe or interest on something you think completely opposite of it. It might be easy to come to a conclusion and a healthy debate can build when arguing with psychologically aware people.

Also, i would like to add another example of arguing between or among psychologically aware people with significant age differences. Experience, and respect due to age can help to come to conclusion early, and reduce conflicts during argument. Also, argument with professionals seems to be very difficult, when people run out of common topics and interest area. A healthy argument is when one has something to add into the ongoing topic which can surprise others, and argument turns into discussion. There are people who would try to comment on credibility of the knowledge, but a psychological aware person would know how to react or grasp what is being discussed. No one needs argument but it is spontaneous, and emotions can turn anything around. Emotions mostly influence your agreement and sometimes it should come at the last and depending on the argument, people who bring emotions all the time are bad arguer.

Have A Good Day!

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